Empty-Pail
0x21d1e433a3602fe8488a331ceadfb80f5a4aedea
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$97.09
Total PnL
$0.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 25?
36 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$36.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or below on April 8?
31 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$31.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 4?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$30.00
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 4?$29.97Jun 2, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 25?$36.00May 23, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C or below on April 8?$31.00Apr 7, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on April 5?$29.06Apr 5, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on April 5?$29.00Apr 5, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?$31.09Apr 1, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$34.07Apr 1, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 23?$36.04Mar 23, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 23?$36.00Mar 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$34.00Mar 21, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 58°F or higher on March 13?$39.08Mar 14, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?$31.00Mar 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 58°F or higher on March 13?$39.00Mar 12, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 11?$21.47Mar 11, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 11?$21.00Mar 10, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 7?$6.01Mar 7, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 7?$6.00Mar 6, 08:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $29.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 14:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".