Talkative-Downturn
0x21d2103d5e4115f8be72f5c3c56cf8589419b79e
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$45.25
Total PnL
$-289.65
Realised
$-9.98
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.71
$1.71
- NO
Another Elon baby by June 30?
11 shares @ 92.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
114 shares @ 2.6¢·now 4.1¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$4.69
$1.69
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
40 shares @ 7.6¢·now 9.9¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$3.92
$0.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
417 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$3.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
19 shares @ 10.6¢·now 15.6¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.94
$0.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
12 shares @ 16.2¢·now 17.4¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.45
$-6.55
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
3 shares @ 37.9¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$2.08Jun 14, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$2.09Jun 14, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.05Jun 14, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.05Jun 14, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.04Jun 14, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.03Jun 14, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$2.10Jun 14, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.05Jun 14, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.05Jun 14, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon post "Neuralink" on X this week?$1.01Jun 14, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Elon baby by June 30?$10.04Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$1.03Jun 14, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.05Jun 14, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.05Jun 14, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.05Jun 14, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.05Jun 14, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$4.34Jun 13, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$8.57Jun 12, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?$1.03Jun 12, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 (High)?$1.04Jun 12, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 07:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 11:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.