0x21d3608ce1c305352a5d3c808fd6255a10ea8d3f
0x21d3608ce1c305352a5d3c808fd6255a10ea8d3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$316.11
Total PnL
$2.36
Realised
$-4.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$311.11Jul 21, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$311.11Jul 21, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$276.51Jul 21, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$276.51Jul 21, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$259.80Jul 20, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$127.26Jul 20, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$133.88Jul 20, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$266.41Jul 20, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$273.30Jul 20, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$273.31Jul 20, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$256.51Jul 20, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$256.51Jul 20, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$240.68Jul 20, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$100.62Jul 19, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$152.38Jul 19, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$5.01Jul 19, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 14:03 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$5.01Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.35Jun 23, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$1.32Jun 23, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $119.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 10:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.