Famous-Audience
0x21d5fa48bd651142faf37cc6cfd69a60b74d6f93
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$170.68
Total PnL
$-119.14
Realised
$5.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$96.54
$-3.76
- NO
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
50 shares @ 81.3¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$40.02
$-0.63
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
42 shares @ 48.6¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$17.68
$-2.80
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
32 shares @ 31.6¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.27
$0.27
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$5.40
$0.40
- YES
Will ByteDance have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
1070 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.53
$-0.58
- YES
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
126 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will ByteDance have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
20 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.03
$-0.01
- NO
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.13
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.09Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$7.74Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$5.14Jun 13, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$5.13Jun 13, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$8.13Jun 13, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$5.15Jun 13, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$7.19Jun 13, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.12Jun 13, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$8.13Jun 13, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$5.15Jun 13, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$5.16Jun 13, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$5.16Jun 13, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$8.41Jun 13, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$5.15Jun 13, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$8.69Jun 13, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.16Jun 13, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$7.40Jun 13, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.13Jun 13, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$9.36Jun 13, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.17Jun 13, 23:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 21:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.