0x21d749d2fa85d912e59f6435d580f846b9b51158
0x21d749d2fa85d912e59f6435d580f846b9b51158
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$1.25
Total PnL
$-28.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" during the Black History Month reception?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 11?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 16?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?$2.00Mar 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$2.00Feb 20, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20?$1.00Feb 20, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 20, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 20, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$1.00Feb 19, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during the Black History Month reception?$1.00Feb 18, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 18?$1.00Feb 18, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 18?$1.00Feb 18, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 16?$1.00Feb 16, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end between February 16-19, 2026?$1.00Feb 16, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Feb 16, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?$1.00Feb 16, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on February 11?$1.00Feb 11, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 11?$1.00Feb 11, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 11?$1.00Feb 11, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 11?$1.00Feb 11, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$3.00Feb 10, 13:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 12:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 16:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".