Flat-Outrun
0x21da540ee45f2e7cf6b028dc7f09224d9927a70d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-323.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
17000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
1202 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-432.57
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
1196 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-59.78
- YES
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in January 2026?
1044 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.45
- YES
Will Israel strike Iraq by December 31?
834 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.04
- YES
Israel strike on Damascus by December 31?
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.05
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?
391 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-336.00
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 or more countries in December 2025?
328 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
250 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026?$0.94Feb 1, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026?$0.49Jan 31, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026?$1.36Jan 31, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$2.80Jan 31, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$17.20Jan 21, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$0.11Jan 21, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$0.05Jan 21, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$40.27Jan 21, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$2.16Jan 21, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?$59.78Jan 21, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$432.57Jan 14, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$95.00Jan 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in January 2026?$19.23Jan 10, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in January 2026?$10.77Jan 10, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$22.52Jan 10, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$9.35Jan 10, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$0.09Jan 10, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$1.04Jan 10, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$3.00Jan 10, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$1.76Jan 10, 21:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $19.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 08:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".