Smoggy-Cornet
0x21dd59f85d53d7e612d01c9350dfb6e9b65224a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-29.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
81000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-347.98
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
52000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- YES
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
5030 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-246.41
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
4790 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-37.93
- NO
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?
3155 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-29.25
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?
3000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22?
2590 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-444.68
- YES
Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?
894 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-295.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
805 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-120.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$120.78Feb 2, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$35.20Jan 31, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.73Jan 31, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?$0.06Jan 27, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$300.00Jan 27, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?$297.00Jan 27, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$6.68Jan 24, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.80Jan 24, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$52.00Jan 24, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.04Jan 24, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.04Jan 24, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.04Jan 24, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$40.40Jan 24, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$14.46Jan 22, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.40Jan 22, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$0.28Jan 22, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$0.56Jan 22, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$0.56Jan 22, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$28.37Jan 22, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$0.47Jan 22, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $28.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 15:30 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 16:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.