Elastic-Refuse
0x21e0a91dc16a946cca5702f2823074e7a57d46a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.38
Total PnL
$-19.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?
3 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$3.38
$1.86
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?
122 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
37 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPark Sung-jae in jail by November 15?$1.52Nov 11, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?$0.67Nov 11, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$18.00Nov 6, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?$1.00Nov 2, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 2?$1.00Nov 2, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?$1.00Nov 2, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa drop out?$1.00Nov 2, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fenerbahce win the UEFA Europa League?$0.00Jun 5, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 5, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 5, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?$0.00Jun 5, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?$0.00Feb 12, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk tweet 500-549 times February 7-14?$0.00Feb 12, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMGoogle Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?$0.00Feb 12, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?$1.52Feb 12, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?$1.00Feb 12, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.92Feb 12, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?$0.60Feb 12, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?$4.77Feb 11, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? $0.70Feb 11, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 02:27 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".