Same-Underestimate
0x21e2466cb8663b8bd41792de923433725d23871d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-874.26
Realised
$-141.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1965 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-102.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
1175 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
982 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-217.48
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?
512 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-65.73
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
390 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
350 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- GEN.G
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- PSG TALON
LoL: Gen.G vs PSG Talon (BO1)
180 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-16.23
- T1
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)
169 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.69
- PSG TALON
LoL: PSG Talon vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$10.35Jun 3, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea$1.61Mar 7, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea$10.00Mar 7, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea$32.97Mar 7, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea$10.00Mar 7, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea$22.92Mar 7, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea$10.65Mar 7, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea$10.66Mar 7, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea$19.92Mar 7, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$2.00Dec 7, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$18.00Dec 7, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$82.00Dec 7, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$91.17Dec 7, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$60.00Dec 7, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$100.00Dec 7, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$100.00Dec 7, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$100.00Dec 7, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$199.70Dec 7, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$100.00Dec 7, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$111.61Dec 7, 13:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $45.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 06:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 22:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".