Ill-Informed-Drummer
0x21e5814a7d4864ddcbe8d789279c0590d618eb28
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$2.87
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.52
$0.00
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.35
$-0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on November 2?
3244 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
3200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2902 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2888 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- UTAH
Lightning vs. Utah
578 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-288.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
496 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-114.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
221 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-128.07
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
182 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-78.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.52May 20, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.67May 20, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.08Apr 1, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.09Apr 1, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$57.68Mar 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$58.39Mar 23, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$45.48Mar 23, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$0.89Mar 23, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.00Mar 23, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.00Mar 23, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$11.61Mar 23, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$10.00Mar 23, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.00Mar 23, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$54.19Mar 23, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$21.43Mar 23, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$20.00Mar 23, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$20.00Mar 23, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$61.51Mar 23, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$47.33Mar 23, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$130.00Mar 23, 14:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $20.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.