0x21e777b6c4d44a7a1914cc2b078ec8e8514d4041
0x21e777b6c4d44a7a1914cc2b078ec8e8514d4041
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$397.97
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$47.11
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Morocco?
2222 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$102.22
$2.22
- YES
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Morocco?
2995 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$88.36
$-11.63
- YES
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Morocco?
6542 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$81.78
$-18.22
- YES
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Morocco?
6885 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$79.18
$-20.82
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.43
$-3.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
2076 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-1.5)
1617 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-776.11
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
1423 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-299.91
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?
1400 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-154.00
- YES
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 1 Canada?
1010 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-121.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.