0x21e79af6eb2f30e7184aa88e4e8106a11da8ca91
0x21e79af6eb2f30e7184aa88e4e8106a11da8ca91
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$73.09
Total PnL
$-933.89
Realised
$-131.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3271 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.07
$-1.64
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2289 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.61
$-5.03
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
1577 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.40
$-20.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15?
1913 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11?
1808 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-47.00
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1667 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
1250 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET
117 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6PM ET
78 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-14.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET
52 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-14.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10PM ET$18.88Jun 16, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10PM ET$18.70Jun 16, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET$31.68Jun 16, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET$19.23Jun 16, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7PM ET$19.33Jun 15, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET$40.63Jun 15, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET$19.40Jun 15, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5PM ET$47.92Jun 15, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5PM ET$19.49Jun 15, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET$68.02Jun 15, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$34.01Jun 15, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET$19.34Jun 15, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET$19.20Jun 15, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3PM ET$21.48Jun 15, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3PM ET$18.86Jun 15, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2PM ET$38.14Jun 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2PM ET$19.36Jun 15, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$9.74Jun 15, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMHYPE Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET$9.87Jun 15, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $20.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 03:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.