Twin-Surgery
0x21ec0db47bd1b731641cf69574d5aca15f7cccff
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$813.04
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-227.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
17869 shares @ 8.7¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$813.04
$-738.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
6368 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-368.45
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
2784 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Aug 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Aug 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Aug 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Aug 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Aug 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Aug 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Aug 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Aug 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Aug 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Aug 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Aug 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 5, 02:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Aug 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 30, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.