Obvious-Strand
0x21f1dfc9a9df23a9c6a0717fb3902cdadc00fd94
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$8.04
Total PnL
$-62.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
5 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$-0.02
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
3 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.05
$0.02
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on December 29?
3210 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.21
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 27?
3178 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.36
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 29?
2143 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 23?
2125 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 8?
1080 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?
1073 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on April 18?
1070 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on March 26?
1070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.22Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.52Jun 2, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 1?$2.12Jun 1, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?$3.22May 26, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 20?$2.11May 21, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 17?$2.14May 17, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 11?$2.13May 12, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?$5.02May 5, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 5?$2.11May 5, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4?$1.1KMay 4, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4?$1.1KMay 4, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 3?$1.1KMay 4, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 3?$1.1KMay 4, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 3?$1.1KMay 3, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 3?$1.1KMay 3, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?$1.1KMay 3, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?$1.1KMay 3, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 2?$1.1KMay 2, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 2?$1.1KMay 2, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 1?$1.1KMay 2, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $297.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.