Valid-Profit
0x21f701a6d8febfd948f899114f2b9d9a8ef7e19f
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$880.52
Total PnL
$-13.4K
Realised
$227.12
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
3300 shares @ 33.9¢·now 8.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$262.35
$-857.93
- YES
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
4624 shares @ 8.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$131.79
$-267.49
- YES
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
1018 shares @ 17.9¢·now 9.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.22
$-85.42
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in July?
500 shares @ 9.9¢·now 18.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$92.50
$43.15
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
20274 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$60.82
$-409.01
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
2820 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$60.35
$-81.10
- YES
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
1200 shares @ 5.4¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$55.80
$-8.98
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.00
$-71.95
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
381 shares @ 28.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.16
$-70.41
- YES
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?
514 shares @ 40.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$10.28
$-195.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$11.20Jul 28, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$83.71Jul 27, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?$31.93Jul 27, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?$54.56Jul 27, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$57.46Jul 27, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$1.16Jul 26, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?$205.58Jul 26, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 26, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$0.36Jul 26, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$68.34Jul 26, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$1.09Jul 26, 02:02 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.23Jul 26, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$0.05Jul 25, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$138.79Jul 25, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$319.75Jul 25, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$87.72Jul 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?$12.00Jul 25, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$3.17Jul 25, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$0.02Jul 25, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$40.28Jul 25, 07:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $27.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.