Cruel-Outrage
0x21ff6d56c4e7f8645e17364fca0199d521a859ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-1.80
Realised
$-0.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Dwight Howard make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$10.00
$0.05
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Montana Governor Election?
134 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Missouri Presidential Election?
65 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election?
47 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.09
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
36 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Governor Election?
27 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska's 1st congressional district?
21 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Vikings win the NFC Championship?$1.01Jan 7, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Vikings win the NFC Championship?$1.03Jan 7, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?$1.24Jan 7, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?$1.25Jan 7, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dwight Howard make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?$9.95Jan 6, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLArsenal wins the Premier League?$0.11Dec 13, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$0.11Dec 13, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLGermany confidence vote in 2024?$4.47Dec 13, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany confidence vote in 2024?$4.48Dec 13, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?$3.82Dec 13, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?$3.83Dec 13, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$2.99Dec 13, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$3.00Dec 13, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$0.12Nov 21, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$0.25Nov 21, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$0.12Nov 21, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$0.24Nov 21, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$0.14Nov 21, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$0.28Nov 21, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$0.13Nov 21, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 27, 05:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 09:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".