Polite-Direction
0x220c2ae3078c477f12122b2e5da429e0c6ed00eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-921.34
Realised
$-70.05
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
3450 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
2867 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.66
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 29-August 4?
1634 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-222.84
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1197 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-117.71
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1170 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-84.51
- FALCONS
Titans vs. Falcons
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the fight end in a draw?
520 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
No airdrop in 2025?
426 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.90
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
240 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-21.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill New Zealand record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.19Feb 23, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on February 19?$0.94Feb 19, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.68Feb 19, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$23.02Feb 19, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLNuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5$0.79Feb 19, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$9.30Feb 19, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 19, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 19, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.35Feb 19, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$12.06Feb 19, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.94Feb 19, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.80Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.00Feb 18, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 19?$10.05Feb 18, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 25?$22.00Feb 18, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$17.05Feb 18, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.00Feb 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.00Feb 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.18Feb 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.17Feb 18, 07:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 02:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.