Authorized-Paw
0x220ce36c47fa467152b3bd8d431af74f232243c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$15.72
Total PnL
$-358.1K
Realised
$-46.10
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 41.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.72
$-4.28
- SUNS
Suns vs. Jazz
50000 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-25.5K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 22?
49999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on October 25?
49994 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-49.99
- MAGIC
Hawks vs. Magic
46755 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-30.9K
- WIZARDS
Hornets vs. Wizards
45000 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-24.9K
- NETS
Nets vs. Knicks
37279 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.4K
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Raptors
32002 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-14.7K
- GRIZZLIES
Heat vs. Grizzlies
30000 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-17.4K
- CAVALIERS
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
30000 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.2K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.