Regal-Amenity
0x220f7d41f11655451f7b93cde8b31acb532f063c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-38.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: Other
1167 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Biden resign before the election?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- NO
Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.99
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?
104 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will a Republican win California Presidential Election?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?$1.00Dec 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: Other$0.28Nov 6, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: Other$0.07Nov 6, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: Other$0.65Nov 6, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$1.00Nov 6, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?$1.00Nov 5, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump get 86m or more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 5, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: Other$1.00Nov 5, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden resign before the election?$0.20Nov 5, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win California Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 5, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 5, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$1.00Nov 5, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34$1.00Nov 5, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14$1.00Nov 5, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4$1.00Nov 5, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+$1.00Nov 5, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 5, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden resign before the election?$0.50Nov 5, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?$3.99Nov 5, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$2.00Nov 5, 05:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 04:40 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 06:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.