Lively-Hypothesis
0x2211a57782f4c215ae88f6098d7fafd1e645ed34
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$1.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$970.72Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$805.93Jun 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$807.05Jun 13, 06:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$959.42Jun 12, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$960.88Jun 12, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$948.77Jun 12, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$950.37Jun 12, 03:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$864.97Jun 11, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$866.36Jun 11, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.1KJun 11, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.1KJun 11, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?$770.54Jun 7, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?$771.73Jun 7, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?$876.85Jun 6, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?$878.02Jun 6, 02:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.4KJun 3, 10:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.