Miserable-Jockey
0x221d81ed86eacd25d7ba211a0c9f05ebac1e060a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$99.24
Total PnL
$-23.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
102 shares @ 95.4¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$99.24
$2.24
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 11?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 9?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?
920 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 19?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,600 on January 14?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 2?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 March 9-15?
375 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 14?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$97.00Jun 4, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?$2.14Jun 4, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$99.10Jun 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$99.00Jun 1, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?$100.09May 24, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?$100.00May 24, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$98.10May 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$98.01May 21, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$98.10May 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$98.00May 15, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$98.10May 15, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C on May 9?$1.00May 15, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C on May 9?$1.00May 8, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$98.00May 6, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$98.10May 6, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.00May 6, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.00May 4, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$98.00May 3, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$98.09May 3, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$98.00Apr 27, 12:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $69.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 13:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".