Tan-Powder
0x221db96bf00dfea9b72dcf3ce0bbe4cfe2c67207
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
54%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
16913 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-590.59
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
16349 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-361.98
- YES
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?
13280 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-109.99
- YES
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?
11090 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-11.09
- YES
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?
10167 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-35.99
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 270–284 times August 1–August 8?
4333 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-56.66
- NO
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?
4235 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-793.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
3405 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.25
- YES
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?
2929 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-143.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$17.52Jan 24, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$11.98Jan 24, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$5.36Jan 24, 00:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.19Jan 24, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$80.20Jan 23, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$20.00Jan 23, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$60.00Jan 23, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$60.00Jan 23, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$98.44Jan 23, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$20.00Jan 23, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$20.00Jan 23, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$20.00Jan 23, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$16.56Jan 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$18.00Jan 23, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$51.26Jan 23, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Jan 23, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Jan 23, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Jan 23, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$10.00Jan 23, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$50.00Jan 23, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $31.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".