Carefree-Fort
0x222a1ea9a6ac99a416c3c22e35e872d3c819d5af
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$207.10
Total PnL
$-432.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
100 shares @ 76.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$74.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
70 shares @ 14.3¢·now 55.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$38.99
$28.99
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$20.74
$0.74
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.50
$-0.10
- YES
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
200 shares @ 14.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.00
$-17.00
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
28 shares @ 35.5¢·now 35.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
68 shares @ 29.2¢·now 14.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.62
$-10.38
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$8.92
$-1.08
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
50 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.60
$-2.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$10.43May 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$12.20May 15, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$11.56May 15, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $120 in May?$12.06May 15, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$38.33May 15, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$20.21May 15, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$40.00May 13, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year?$1.42May 12, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year?$2.03May 12, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 10?$14.99May 11, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $120 in May?$21.32May 9, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $120 in May?$10.66May 9, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 10?$4.13May 9, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 10?$1.05May 9, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 10?$0.49May 9, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 10?$0.96May 9, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 10?$0.39May 9, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 10?$1.19May 9, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 10?$6.78May 9, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 10?$5.57May 9, 07:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $12.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 22:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 23:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".