Accurate-Goodie
0x223249d4e15757f2b9cab856eb16948c551ae889
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
180
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$268.46
Win rate
63%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 180- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 1?
4089 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-43.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 22?
2425 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-19.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on March 2?
1839 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-164.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on March 22?
1611 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.22
- YES
Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 15?
1443 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-23.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on April 15?
1390 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on March 22?
1229 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on April 15?
1070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 12?
1067 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 25?$2.00Jul 25, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 19?$162.68Jul 19, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 19?$23.15Jul 19, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?$4.62Jul 16, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?$1.80Jul 16, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?$1.80Jul 16, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?$1.80Jul 16, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?$15.80Jul 16, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?$0.95Jul 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?$1.10Jul 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?$0.23Jul 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 16?$8.41Jul 16, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?$1.55Jul 16, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?$2.54Jul 16, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?$5.50Jul 16, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?$22.87Jul 16, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?$3.75Jul 16, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?$0.01Jul 16, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 16?$1.47Jul 16, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?$1.35Jul 16, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 17:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.