Orderly-Tradition-Burro
0x2236bfec11378c0f623d6da0c9fb5dc170bcf158
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.67
Total PnL
$-22.18
Realised
$-0.33
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.62
$1.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?
62 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.03
$-0.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 23?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 21?
4895 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?
4895 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 21?
1136 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 21?
979 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 21?
113 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 21?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 22?
17 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?$1.03Jul 22, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 23?$1.03Jul 22, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?$1.04Jul 22, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?$3.38Jul 22, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 23?$0.00Jul 21, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 23?$0.29Jul 21, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?$0.03Jul 21, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?$0.05Jul 21, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?$0.90Jul 21, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?$0.08Jul 21, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?$0.69Jul 21, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?$1.04Jul 21, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 21?$0.71Jul 21, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 21?$0.20Jul 21, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 21?$0.09Jul 21, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?$0.74Jul 21, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 23?$0.32Jul 21, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 23?$0.23Jul 21, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 23?$1.04Jul 21, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?$0.73Jul 21, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 01:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 03:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.