Repentant-Assertion
0x2243428ee3d8ba92c975e9cadf681f2b4187f5ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-392.82
Realised
$-5.96
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
1071 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
227 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
199 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
188 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
156 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
154 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$308.64Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $7.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 15:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.