Queasy-Address
0x2247e0635b7a2fc748312d9fe8b0eb1fd277cc54
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$163.82
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$9.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
934 shares @ 18.9¢·now 17.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$162.92
$-13.64
- YES
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.90
$-1.10
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1011 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.06
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
700 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-378.00
- YES
Will Drake have 3+ albums in the Billboard 200 top 10?
700 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
650 shares @ 51.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-333.45
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?
650 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-141.70
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
650 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-104.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
600 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-156.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
600 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-276.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.09Jul 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$183.72Jul 12, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$179.44Jul 12, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$176.97Jul 10, 13:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
- REWARD$3.96Jul 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$75.97Jul 8, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping by August 31?$2.20Jul 8, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping by July 31?$3.20Jul 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?$3.87Jul 8, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by August 31?$4.80Jul 8, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$5.00Jul 8, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$0.01Jul 8, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$10.09Jul 8, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by August 31?$5.00Jul 8, 03:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $63.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 04:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.