Repentant-Kind
0x2248abdd8fe6d637b0594fc7aeda415a78a553d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$17.66
Total PnL
$-610.87
Realised
$-9.42
Win rate
0%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 16?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$10.80
$0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 15?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$6.85
$-3.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.01
$-9.99
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
354 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-174.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 4?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
81 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 4?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?
45 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 18?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 16?$10.28Aug 14, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 14?$10.99Aug 14, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 15?$0.47Aug 14, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 15?$1.38Aug 14, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 15?$2.66Aug 14, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 15?$5.69Aug 14, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 14?$13.34Aug 14, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 14?$10.05Aug 13, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 14?$5.50Aug 13, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 14?$4.50Aug 13, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 13?$10.10Aug 13, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 12?$15.39Aug 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14?$4.88Aug 12, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14?$3.65Aug 12, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14?$1.47Aug 12, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 12?$10.76Aug 12, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 12?$6.92Aug 12, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 12?$0.69Aug 12, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 12?$2.19Aug 12, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 12?$10.04Aug 12, 00:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 50 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
50 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 08:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 23:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.