Another-Resist
0x224939934c5e4d14fd02602c4966862299d785ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$3.60
Total PnL
$-497.65
Realised
$-157.92
Win rate
10%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$3.60
$1.91
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%?
92 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-15.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
80 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?
78 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
50 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
42 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-21.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
33 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.10
- YES
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
32 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.59
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
31 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.75Aug 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$6.83Aug 12, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.14Aug 12, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win on 2026-08-15? AND Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16? AND Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-14?$5.38Aug 11, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$2.71Aug 5, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$1.06Jul 20, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.05Jul 20, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.05Jul 20, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$30.53Jul 20, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$29.07Jul 19, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$4.47Jul 19, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.77Feb 22, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$263.01Feb 20, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$250.00Feb 20, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$13.60Feb 20, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$37.63Feb 20, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$25.00Feb 20, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$14.35Feb 20, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$20.55Feb 20, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$15.00Feb 20, 17:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
30 closed markets, 10% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $13.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 16:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.