Thunderous-Pulse
0x224c7d93ad3d089addb25dfbce99b61a0c98ee07
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.38
Total PnL
$-19.1K
Realised
$-8.5K
Win rate
36%
107 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 18?
255 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.38
$-1.08
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?
11837 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
7000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?
6667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $20 in February?
6267 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
5558 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-95.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 23-March 1?
2849 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 29?
2500 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-663.15
- YES
Will BNB reach $1,000 in March?
2317 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 22?$0.05Aug 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 18?$0.50Aug 18, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 18?$1.06Aug 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 20?$1.00Aug 18, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 19?$1.00Aug 17, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 18?$0.08Aug 17, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 18?$0.08Aug 17, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 18?$0.08Aug 17, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 18?$0.08Aug 17, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 18?$0.08Aug 17, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 18?$0.08Aug 17, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?$0.96Aug 17, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 18?$3.20Aug 17, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?$3.01Aug 17, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?$1.00Aug 17, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 19?$1.00Aug 17, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 18?$1.07Aug 17, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?$2.13Aug 16, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 18?$0.58Aug 16, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16?$0.50Aug 16, 10:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 107 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
107 closed markets, 36% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 16:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 07:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 107 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.