Unwilling-Stranger
0x226dcbf2c483fb248a21a9d0555790bee82f3aec
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
99
Open notional
$45.55
Total PnL
$-86.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- YES
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.25
$2.25
- YES
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.25
$2.25
- YES
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.17
$1.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?$5.00Apr 5, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?$5.00Apr 5, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?$5.00Apr 5, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 14, 17:18 UTC
- REWARD$4.49Mar 13, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$0.29Mar 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$21.00Mar 12, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 12, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 11, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$1.00Mar 11, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Eun-hye win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$1.00Mar 11, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chaikasem Nitisiri be the next prime minister of Thailand?$1.00Mar 11, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yeom Tae-yeong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$1.00Mar 11, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Mar 11, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$1.00Mar 11, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00Mar 11, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Mar 11, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Mar 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Mar 11, 18:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 17:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 10:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".