Scrawny-Philosopher
0x22730bb6d795d16fa550d1659727183d75172098
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$48.65
Total PnL
$-265.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Government shutdown on Saturday?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$27.78
$17.78
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$10.87
$0.87
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
10 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$10.00
$0.41
- NO
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?
1312 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-229.00
- NO
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
334 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
200 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-45.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?$45.96Feb 5, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Feb 5, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$10.00Feb 5, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?$9.59Feb 5, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?$70.00Feb 2, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?$33.47Feb 1, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?$1.41Feb 1, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?$38.07Feb 1, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?$15.05Feb 1, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?$23.00Feb 1, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 1, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$10.00Feb 1, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$10.00Feb 1, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$9.50Jan 31, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?$48.00Jan 31, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$114.00Nov 6, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $31.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 03:06 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 14:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.