Generous-Popcorn
0x2282b3129de3cc5caa1da59175809e347acbc7c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$59.07
Total PnL
$-158.10
Realised
$1.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?
41 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$40.78
$19.16
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
18 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.29
$3.29
- YES
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
500 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-13.50
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will G2 Esports win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
400 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
300 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
293 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?$21.92Apr 19, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?$8.29Apr 18, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?$0.20Apr 18, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?$12.46Apr 4, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?$2.04Apr 4, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs$10.00Mar 29, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLGames Total: O/U 3.5$17.18Mar 29, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 3.5$20.00Mar 29, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)$20.00Mar 29, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B$16.13Mar 23, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B$10.00Mar 21, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?$10.00Mar 21, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$1.40Mar 21, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$3.40Mar 15, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$0.00Mar 15, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$3.50Mar 15, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$4.64Mar 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$1.16Mar 15, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$25.00Mar 15, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$1.00Mar 14, 19:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 09:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.