Flustered-External
0x2283253997be15ede852dd6dcb936ba87c4235c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
131
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-280.06
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 131- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
674 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-54.07
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
520 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-39.95
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?
325 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-62.25
- YES
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-07?
180 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?
130 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-52.13
- YES
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?
125 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?
100 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?
100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?
100 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$11.57Apr 27, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$10.00Apr 27, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$5.00Apr 27, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$4.74Apr 27, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$22.02Apr 27, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$195.68Apr 2, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$98.28Apr 2, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$100.72Apr 2, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$89.57Apr 2, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$36.35Apr 2, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$54.23Apr 2, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$161.00Apr 2, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$140.00Apr 2, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLHouthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$300.81Apr 1, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.00Mar 30, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 31?$0.75Mar 30, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?$0.94Mar 30, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$241.47Mar 30, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$17.00Mar 27, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$46.07Mar 26, 20:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $59.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.