Stale-Cashew
0x229c0a7d92977a9934e5ac2348d507988996b966
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$679.26
Total PnL
$-87.92
Realised
$0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?
105 shares @ 7.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$105.30
$97.65
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
207 shares @ 3.4¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.37
$62.37
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
103 shares @ 4.8¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$52.52
$47.54
- YES
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.50
$40.50
- NO
Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?
145 shares @ 3.5¢·now 27.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$39.93
$34.93
- YES
Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Charles Oliveira next?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 32.6¢·exp Mar 1, 2027$32.55
$31.55
- YES
Will Dan Hooker fight Charles Oliveira next?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Mar 1, 2027$26.50
$25.50
- NO
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
207 shares @ 3.4¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.79
$10.79
- NO
Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2027?
145 shares @ 3.5¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$13.31
$8.31
- YES
Ederson: 1+ goals
175 shares @ 1.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$13.12
$10.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 13?$1.00Jun 13, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 13?$0.68Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13?$0.24Jun 13, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13?$0.23Jun 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13?$1.00Jun 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13?$1.00Jun 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13?$1.00Jun 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13?$1.00Jun 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13?$1.00Jun 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 13?$0.23Jun 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.26Jun 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 13?$0.08Jun 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 13?$0.13Jun 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 13?$0.83Jun 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? $0.96Jun 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 13?$0.04Jun 13, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?$0.57Jun 13, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 13?$1.00Jun 13, 18:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.