Vigorous-Constitution
0x22a0b9cacfc26f0e71f04f1ac1baa72ff674f699
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$85.73
Total PnL
$-10.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
22 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
22 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?
22 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.08
$0.08
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.11
$-3.89
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.94
$-4.06
- YES
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.88
$1.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$1.93
$0.96
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.92
$-1.08
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- YES
China coup attempt in 2025?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.00Apr 7, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$4.13Apr 7, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?$5.07Apr 7, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$10.53Apr 7, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.4KApr 7, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$22.00Apr 7, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?$22.00Apr 7, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$22.00Apr 7, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$865.35Mar 24, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$634.64Mar 24, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold have the best performance in 2026?$3.00Mar 23, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.4KMar 23, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.5KMar 23, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.00Mar 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT ads by December 31?$1.00Oct 13, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?$5.00Oct 13, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?$2.00Oct 13, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEM"The Fantastic Four: First Steps" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80–89%?$7.15Oct 13, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $246.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 10:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 21:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.