Misguided-Harbor
0x22a105e2e930fb5133e2978acb4b5c3e78fccb4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.16
Total PnL
$2.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times November 1-8?
8 shares @ 6.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$8.16
$7.62
- YES
Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
24 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
13 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times November 1-8?
8 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-0.54
- YES
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times November 1-8?
8 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-0.54
- YES
Will Elon tweet 600 or more times November 1-8?
8 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-0.54
- YES
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times November 1-8?
8 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-0.54
- YES
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times November 1-8?
8 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-0.54
- YES
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times November 1-8?
8 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-0.54
- YES
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times November 1-8?
8 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-0.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 325-349 times November 1-8?$0.00Nov 8, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 275-299 times November 1-8?$0.00Nov 8, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 300-324 times November 1-8?$0.00Nov 8, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 250-274 times November 1-8?$0.00Nov 8, 11:29 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # of tweets Nov 1-8?$8.16Nov 3, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 250 times November 1-8?$8.12Nov 3, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$4.49Nov 3, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$6.73Oct 22, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.01Sep 24, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.03Aug 26, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.03Aug 26, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.02Aug 26, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.03Aug 26, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$4.68Aug 25, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$5.22Aug 25, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$9.91Aug 25, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$3.79Aug 25, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$5.18Aug 25, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$8.97Aug 25, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$5.77Aug 25, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 25, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 11:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".