Wary-Seal
0x22a42db19a1dd2d7c214e1043a6c557c8eec13e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-182.34
Realised
$-118.14
Win rate
9%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 10.8¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$177.75
$15.75
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 16.9¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$166.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?
110 shares @ 89.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$107.52
$8.72
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
616 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$100.67
$2.15
- NO
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?
100 shares @ 98.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$93.50
$-4.90
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
125 shares @ 86.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$78.13
$-29.38
- YES
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
100 shares @ 63.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$66.50
$3.50
- YES
Will Argentina be the highest-scoring team in Group J during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
73 shares @ 75.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$55.05
$0.36
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
60 shares @ 81.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$53.70
$5.10
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
60 shares @ 82.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$51.60
$2.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$63.00Jun 14, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner$21.00Jun 14, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill William Saliba be in France's Starting 11?$36.00Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13?$28.14Jun 14, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$16.30Jun 14, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$34.94Jun 14, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$20.00Jun 14, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Raum be in Germany's Starting 11?$3.89Jun 14, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathan Ngoy be in Belgium's Starting 11?$9.44Jun 14, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Vargas be in Colombia's Starting 11?$0.31Jun 14, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Diego Moreira be in Belgium's Starting 11?$1.24Jun 14, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathan Ngoy be in Belgium's Starting 11?$0.51Jun 14, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11?$32.16Jun 14, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill William Saliba be in France's Starting 11?$108.48Jun 14, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hiroki Ito be in Japan's Starting 11?$22.94Jun 14, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ko Itakura be in Japan's Starting 11?$45.38Jun 14, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marcos Llorente be in Spain's Starting 11?$45.27Jun 14, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11?$33.50Jun 14, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ko Itakura be in Japan's Starting 11?$46.00Jun 14, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcos Llorente be in Spain's Starting 11?$45.60Jun 14, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $19.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 23:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 10:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.