Cheerful-Boy
0x22ab768409a2c6ef788f5c32cfb6d1ab4ecbd485
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.5K
Realised
$-2.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on January 31?
409 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-133.85
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 3?
389 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-184.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 31?
350 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-159.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?
348 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-142.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 23?
324 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-171.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or below on February 5?
287 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-153.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 27?
263 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-99.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 31?
262 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-139.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 27?
257 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-115.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 24?
245 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-115.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 18, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jérémy Doku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.20Jul 10, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.23Jul 7, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Senegal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$2.22Jul 2, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$2.10Jul 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$0.84Jul 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$3.52Jul 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$1.26Jul 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$4.90Jul 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$1.22Jul 1, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Messi" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?$3.28Jul 1, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Messi" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?$4.60Jul 1, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the Belgium vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?$4.00Jul 1, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jérémy Doku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.40Jul 1, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jérémy Doku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.27Jul 1, 21:01 UTC
- MERGEWill Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 1, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Bobb score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.13Jul 1, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jérémy Doku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.10Jul 1, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.70Jul 1, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.72Jul 1, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 12:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 23:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.