Vain-Formal
0x22ae4c5f5d36306b9a373e9d515b91f8a2fc3eaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-27.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 28 - April 4?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 28 - April 4?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 28 - April 4?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 28 - April 4?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 28 - April 4?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 21-28?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 28 - April 4?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 14-21?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 28 - April 4?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times April 4 - 11?
55 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$1.00Oct 31, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$0.55Oct 31, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 30?$1.09Oct 30, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$0.30Oct 30, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 30?$1.00Oct 29, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 28?$1.22Oct 29, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 30?$1.00Oct 29, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 29?$1.00Oct 28, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 27?$1.25Oct 27, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 28?$1.00Oct 27, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 25?$1.15Oct 26, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 27?$1.00Oct 26, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 24?$1.06Oct 25, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 25?$1.00Oct 24, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 23?$1.08Oct 24, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 24?$1.00Oct 23, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 21?$1.06Oct 22, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 23?$1.00Oct 22, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 20?$1.04Oct 21, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 21?$1.00Oct 20, 16:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $0.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 17:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".