Circular-Ceiling
0x22ae68348b7d151e32afc26f7c17870545a66161
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-266.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?
17965 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
3159 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
1667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?
653 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?
511 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?
479 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
303 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?
270 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?$10.00Jan 27, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$100.00Jan 23, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?$10.00Jan 23, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?$10.00Jan 23, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?$10.00Jan 23, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?$10.00Jan 23, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$10.00Jan 23, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?$5.00Jan 23, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?$50.00Jan 23, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$50.00Jan 23, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?$1.00Jan 23, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $22.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 02:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.