Gummy-Application
0x22afcb4f29fc742162db4ed7339c494ebb7b4333
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$155.16
Total PnL
$-74.44
Realised
$-8.90
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
155 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$155.16
$0.16
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?
1367 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
567 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$155.00Aug 11, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$155.16Aug 11, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$155.01Jul 10, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$2.28Jul 10, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of June 22 2026?$75.08Jul 10, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close at $310-$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$82.10Jul 10, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of June 22 2026?$75.00Jun 26, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at $310-$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$82.00Jun 26, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 20?$157.16Jun 26, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 20?$157.01Jun 19, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$10.61Jun 19, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on May 31?$15.62Jun 19, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 1?$131.26Jun 19, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 1?$131.01Jun 1, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFoggia: Elizara Yaneva vs Lisa Pigato$2.44Jun 1, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$133.13Jun 1, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$133.01May 31, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$2.24May 31, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$4.39May 30, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2$5.06May 30, 11:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
37/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $81.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 11:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 08:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.