Revolving-Skullcap
0x22c3a8bb8f32ff1ebd0d45efd838dd008b91ad8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$10.42
Total PnL
$-203.72
Realised
$2.94
Win rate
5%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on August 28?
6 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$5.32
$0.03
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on August 27?
5 shares @ 93.6¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 27, 2026$5.10
$-0.03
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
54 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-24.44
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
25 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?
23 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-11.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
16 shares @ 80.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-12.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
15 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 30?
15 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
11 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on August 28?$5.32Aug 22, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on August 27?$5.15Aug 22, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 21?$5.36Aug 20, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 21?$5.55Aug 20, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19?$7.21Aug 19, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 20?$2.23Aug 19, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 20?$5.26Aug 19, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 20?$1.04Aug 19, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 20?$1.12Aug 19, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 20?$17.33Aug 19, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19?$1.04Aug 18, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19?$25.62Aug 18, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$5.55Aug 18, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$2.28Aug 18, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.69Aug 18, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 16?$5.06Aug 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 16?$4.34Aug 15, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 15?$7.66Aug 15, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 15?$6.95Aug 14, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 14?$10.09Aug 13, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
42 closed markets, 5% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 22:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.