Determined-Lab
0x22c3da775c1cf4a0c85c8b02bf1497c35a495490
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$10.51
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-241.37
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
233 shares @ 19.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.51
$-33.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ET
1397 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-735.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 5PM ET
712 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-395.42
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 4AM ET
441 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-222.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
301 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-158.30
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
271 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-142.81
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
163 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-81.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 7AM ET
128 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-63.75
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4PM ET
126 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-64.51
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 5AM ET
122 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-62.14
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $116.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.