Tidy-Solicitation
0x22ccb33aab8b97d7ce8822133afd67828f4a8f35
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$-34.74
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
1487 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-745.98
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
605 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-466.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
535 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-284.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
486 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-284.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
435 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
387 shares @ 63.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-244.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
369 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-165.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
303 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-205.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
245 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-122.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
242 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-128.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$772.00Jun 23, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$71.99Jun 23, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$52.20Jun 23, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$257.87Jun 23, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$753.33Jun 23, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$70.33Jun 23, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$473.28Jun 23, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$51.54Jun 23, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$52.18Jun 23, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$905.72Jun 23, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$515.22Jun 23, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$250.62Jun 23, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$17.55Jun 23, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$17.56Jun 23, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$258.22Jun 23, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$22.14Jun 23, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$257.98Jun 23, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$551.18Jun 23, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$398.19Jun 23, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$17.58Jun 23, 04:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $200.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 05:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.