Tidy-Solicitation
0x22ccb33aab8b97d7ce8822133afd67828f4a8f35
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
128
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.1K
Realised
$-118.95
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 128- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
3022 shares @ 57.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
2897 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
1487 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-745.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
1447 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-677.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
1106 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
1104 shares @ 55.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-608.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
962 shares @ 57.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-550.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
766 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-399.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
707 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
621 shares @ 55.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-347.42
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.11Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$112.01Jul 19, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$112.17Jul 19, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$76.47Jul 19, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$76.41Jul 19, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$48.59Jul 19, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$47.96Jul 19, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$100.12Jul 19, 18:55 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.37Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$150.29Jul 14, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$18.05Jul 14, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$165.26Jul 14, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$80.55Jul 14, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$78.85Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$51.61Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.36Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$98.06Jul 13, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$39.10Jul 13, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$41.78Jul 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$164.88Jul 13, 07:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $86.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.