Watery-Spleen
0x22ce7ba772c0557a518df2490b6eee5715535cad
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$14.20
Total PnL
$-10.63
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
USDT depeg in 2025?
6 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.16
$0.16
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
3 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.10
$0.09
- NO
Netanyahu out by 2025?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.63
$0.13
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
2 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.31
$0.09
- NO
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
9 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $370b on May 31?
4 shares @ 92.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday?
3 shares @ 93.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.31Nov 19, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 25?$2.00Nov 19, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$2.72Nov 19, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?$3.40Nov 19, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 25?$2.00Oct 24, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.30Oct 19, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSDT depeg in 2025?$6.00Oct 19, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by 2025?$2.50Oct 19, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$2.22Oct 19, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$3.00Oct 19, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$19.97Oct 19, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$20.00Oct 19, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$49.95Oct 19, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$50.00Oct 19, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$48.94Oct 19, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$49.00Oct 19, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$49.88Oct 19, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$51.00Oct 19, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$49.88Oct 19, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$49.00Oct 19, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $34.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 17:27 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 09:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".