Meager-Mime
0x22e28802095f821c242dcde933c0659193271d6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
7938 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-861.81
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Macon, GA rally?
1160 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-40.97
- YES
Fed emergency rate cut in August?
926 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Harris win Colorado by 8+ points?
469 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$161.82Nov 6, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$250.00Nov 6, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$447.64Nov 6, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$150.00Nov 6, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$514.18Nov 6, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Macon, GA rally?$40.97Nov 3, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris win Colorado by 8+ points?$100.00Nov 3, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Harris debate before election?$0.00Nov 3, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$250.00Nov 3, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$300.00Nov 3, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Harris debate before election?$35.00Aug 11, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut in August?$25.00Aug 11, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$100.00Aug 11, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$250.00Aug 11, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?$0.00Aug 11, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?$99.00Jul 31, 05:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $194.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 05:38 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 04:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.