Tense-Turkey
0x22fcb563e0a5e2aca64732cc8a0c7a50c53b2db9
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-68.64
Win rate
0%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- ALBERTO MONTES
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)
2697 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-968.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
2320 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-184.67
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
1807 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-985.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
324 shares @ 89.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-290.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
159 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
120 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-64.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
93 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
69 shares @ 87.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
54 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
42 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-19.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$31.71Aug 17, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$26.56Aug 17, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$10.45Aug 17, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$5.21Aug 17, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$15.58Aug 17, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$103.36Aug 17, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$7.78Aug 17, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$10.65Aug 17, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.26Aug 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.23Aug 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$10.48Aug 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$15.70Aug 14, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$25.86Aug 14, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$25.86Aug 14, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.20Aug 14, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.18Aug 14, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.18Aug 14, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.15Aug 14, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$25.91Aug 14, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLCincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals$440.40Jul 26, 21:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $86.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 21:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 01:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.