Chubby-Gray
0x22fd02bf6800d95f2ad355d72dea1e4d724d0835
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
143
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.5K
Realised
$-6.3K
Win rate
1%
123 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 143- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9AM ET
1229 shares @ 67.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-831.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10PM ET
1168 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-626.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 4PM ET
931 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-300.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 1PM ET
767 shares @ 44.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-342.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
653 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-489.59
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 10AM ET
629 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-229.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 12PM ET
608 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-223.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
511 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-244.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 12PM ET
502 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-130.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
463 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-108.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.56Jul 22, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$8.93Jul 22, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.07Jul 21, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$3.01Jul 21, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$5.02Jul 21, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$11.00Jul 21, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$9.34Jul 21, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$11.00Jul 21, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$9.13Jul 21, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$9.28Jul 21, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$7.88Jul 21, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$12.00Jul 21, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$9.39Jul 21, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$11.00Jul 21, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$8.82Jul 21, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$10.00Jul 21, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$8.49Jul 21, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$11.00Jul 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$9.24Jul 21, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$11.00Jul 21, 22:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 123 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
123 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $6.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 123 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.