Decimal-Sash
0x23006f4204a92110be4a96092fe031abc8876139
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$33.60
Total PnL
$15.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
25 shares @ 40.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$24.51
$14.51
- KNICKS
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
9 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.09
$3.09
- YES
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$10.30May 21, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$6.06May 21, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$2.00May 3, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$0.00May 2, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMFact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?$0.00May 2, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 10-17?$0.00Feb 5, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?$1.30Feb 5, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMKristi Noem confirmed as Secretary of Homeland Security?$3.23Feb 5, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?$9.26Feb 5, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden finish his term?$11.96Feb 5, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?$1.00Jan 16, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 10-17?$1.00Jan 16, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?$0.00Jan 8, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEM1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?$1.28Jan 8, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?$3.51Jan 8, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS bank failure before December?$0.00Dec 12, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS bank failure before December?$1.06Dec 12, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?$2.00Dec 12, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?$1.00Dec 12, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?$1.00Dec 12, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $3.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 17:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.